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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.25+5.45vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands0.15+7.62vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.92+4.54vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.66+1.47vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.80+3.07vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.14-1.75vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.36-0.93vs Predicted
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8University of Washington1.53-2.21vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.89-4.16vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.39-4.69vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-0.42-0.79vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands0.15-3.38vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University0.37-4.77vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-7.88vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.64-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.45University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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9.62California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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7.54University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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5.47University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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8.07University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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4.25University of Hawaii2.140.2%1st Place
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6.07University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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5.79University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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4.84University of Hawaii1.890.1%1st Place
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6.31Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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11.21University of Victoria-0.420.0%1st Place
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9.62California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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9.23Western Washington University0.370.0%1st Place
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7.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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13.02Rutgers University-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annika Garrett | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 18.6% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mathew Butler | 13.5% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 8.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Steven Dieleman | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 30.7% | 17.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Sharp | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Emily Rathburn | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 6.8% | 14.6% | 67.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.