← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii1.25+5.60vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii1.89+2.68vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Los Angeles0.92+4.67vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley1.36+2.35vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii2.14-0.81vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University1.39+0.27vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+0.32vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University0.37+1.47vs Predicted
-
10California State University Channel Islands0.15+0.08vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego0.80-2.75vs Predicted
-
12University of Washington1.53-6.07vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley1.66-7.33vs Predicted
-
14California State University Channel Islands0.15-3.92vs Predicted
-
15University of Victoria-0.42-3.31vs Predicted
-
16Rutgers University-1.64-2.22vs Predicted
-
17University of British Columbia-0.64-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.6University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
-
4.68University of Hawaii1.890.1%1st Place
-
7.67University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
-
6.35University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
-
4.19University of Hawaii2.140.2%1st Place
-
6.27Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
-
7.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
-
9.47Western Washington University0.370.0%1st Place
-
10.08California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
-
8.25University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
-
5.93University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
-
5.67University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
-
10.08California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
-
11.69University of Victoria-0.420.0%1st Place
-
13.78Rutgers University-1.640.0%1st Place
-
12.04University of British Columbia-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annika Garrett | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mathew Butler | 14.7% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 18.9% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Sharp | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 8.7% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 10.8% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 10.3% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 10.8% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Steven Dieleman | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 25.3% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Rathburn | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 15.9% | 60.3% | 0.0% |
| Kayden Polachek | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 16.5% | 27.5% | 18.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.