← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii1.89+3.77vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Los Angeles0.92+5.60vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington1.53+2.78vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University1.39+2.28vs Predicted
-
5University of Victoria-0.42+6.51vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+1.34vs Predicted
-
7California State University Channel Islands0.15+3.00vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego0.80+0.14vs Predicted
-
9California State University Channel Islands0.15+1.00vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Berkeley1.36-3.63vs Predicted
-
11University of Hawaii1.25-4.16vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Berkeley1.66-6.44vs Predicted
-
13University of Hawaii2.14-8.64vs Predicted
-
14Western Washington University0.37-4.33vs Predicted
-
15University of British Columbia-0.64-2.93vs Predicted
-
17Rutgers University-1.64-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.77University of Hawaii1.890.2%1st Place
-
7.6University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
-
5.78University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
-
6.28Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
-
11.51University of Victoria-0.420.0%1st Place
-
7.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
-
10.0California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
-
8.14University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
-
10.0California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
-
6.37University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
-
6.84University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
-
5.56University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
-
4.36University of Hawaii2.140.2%1st Place
-
9.67Western Washington University0.370.0%1st Place
-
12.07University of British Columbia-0.640.0%1st Place
-
13.72Rutgers University-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathew Butler | 15.2% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 10.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Dieleman | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 18.2% | 23.7% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 11.4% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 16.3% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Sharp | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 8.8% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Kayden Polachek | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 17.1% | 26.3% | 18.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Rathburn | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 18.4% | 58.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.