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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.28+1.97vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.38+2.81vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.82-0.14vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.82+1.31vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.04+2.53vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.87-0.82vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.57-3.62vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria-0.41+0.75vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.96+1.11vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.11-2.62vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-0.97-0.78vs Predicted
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13University of Washington0.93-6.76vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96-2.71vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.35-2.98vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-0.97-4.78vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University-1.84-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97University of Hawaii2.280.3%1st Place
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4.81Salve Regina University1.380.1%1st Place
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3.86Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
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6.31University of Hawaii0.820.1%1st Place
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8.53University of California at Berkeley0.040.0%1st Place
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6.18University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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4.38University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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9.75University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
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11.11Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
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8.38University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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11.22California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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6.24University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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11.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
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12.02University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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11.22California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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12.94Rutgers University-1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Wilkinson | 29.3% | 21.5% | 16.8% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Root | 10.7% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 17.1% | 16.4% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Gee | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Paulsen | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 14.4% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Bishop | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Carter Dojan | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 20.6% | 21.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| Emily Pooley | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 17.6% | 41.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.