← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.05+2.33vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.28+2.82vs Predicted
-
4Maine Maritime Academy2.20+3.35vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.40-0.35vs Predicted
-
6Boston University3.35-1.30vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University1.39+1.11vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont3.39-4.46vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University3.48-5.62vs Predicted
-
11Salve Regina University2.07-3.36vs Predicted
-
12Bates College0.74-1.77vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.64-2.50vs Predicted
-
14University of Connecticut2.51-7.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.050.2%1st Place
-
4.82Yale University3.280.1%1st Place
-
7.35Maine Maritime Academy2.200.0%1st Place
-
4.65Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
-
4.7Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
9.11Northeastern University1.390.0%1st Place
-
4.54University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
-
4.38Tufts University3.480.2%1st Place
-
7.64Salve Regina University2.070.0%1st Place
-
10.23Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
-
10.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.640.0%1st Place
-
6.75University of Connecticut2.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanya Cuprak | 21.3% | 21.3% | 17.5% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Jackson | 10.2% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Joseph | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 8.0% | 2.3% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 11.4% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Matt Johnson | 12.2% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Marshall McLean | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 13.3% | 19.4% | 25.2% | 13.1% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 13.6% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Salk | 15.9% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Robert Keller | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 19.0% | 15.1% | 9.4% | 2.7% |
| Christopher Calahan | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 14.9% | 26.1% | 36.0% |
| Patrick Morrissey | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 13.0% | 23.6% | 44.1% |
| Sean Andrew | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.