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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.71+4.84vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.84+3.71vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+4.71vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.97+1.81vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.17-0.27vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+4.48vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.01+1.91vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.85-1.11vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32+1.80vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.15-2.16vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.49-0.01vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.24-0.26vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.12-1.43vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.22-5.09vs Predicted
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15Boston College-0.06-2.67vs Predicted
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16Boston University-0.48-2.52vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-7.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84Dartmouth College1.7111.5%1st Place
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5.71Bowdoin College1.8411.1%1st Place
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7.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.816.9%1st Place
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5.81Roger Williams University1.9711.0%1st Place
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4.73Harvard University2.1716.2%1st Place
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10.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.0%1st Place
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8.91Tufts University1.015.2%1st Place
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6.89Brown University1.858.6%1st Place
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10.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.322.6%1st Place
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7.84Tufts University1.155.1%1st Place
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10.99Roger Williams University0.493.1%1st Place
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11.74University of Vermont0.242.0%1st Place
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11.57University of Rhode Island0.122.5%1st Place
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8.91Northeastern University1.224.6%1st Place
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12.33Boston College-0.061.3%1st Place
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13.48Boston University-0.480.7%1st Place
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9.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.854.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bella casaretto | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emma Wang | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Meagher | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 16.2% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 4.8% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.8% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Katherine McGagh | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 12.8% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Kate Joslin | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 17.2% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 32.3% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.