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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.85+5.37vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.48+5.89vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.84+5.26vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.01+5.21vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.74+1.49vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.59+1.53vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.18+1.31vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.56+2.90vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.01+0.45vs Predicted
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10Stanford University1.64-3.05vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.38+0.21vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.44-3.89vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.17-4.24vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.97-1.50vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.07-5.27vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.30-7.57vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37Harvard University1.8510.8%1st Place
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7.89Bowdoin College1.486.8%1st Place
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8.26Roger Williams University1.845.9%1st Place
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9.21Boston University1.014.9%1st Place
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6.49Brown University1.749.6%1st Place
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7.53Yale University1.598.1%1st Place
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8.31Tufts University1.187.1%1st Place
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10.9University of Vermont0.563.1%1st Place
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9.45Brown University1.015.9%1st Place
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6.95Stanford University1.647.7%1st Place
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11.21Connecticut College0.383.1%1st Place
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8.11George Washington University1.446.6%1st Place
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8.76Fordham University1.175.7%1st Place
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12.5Salve Regina University0.971.8%1st Place
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9.73Northeastern University1.075.5%1st Place
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8.43University of Rhode Island1.305.5%1st Place
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12.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.131.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Strom | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Cam Spriggs | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Mathias Reimer | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.1% |
| Sidney Moyer | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% |
| Thomas Whidden | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Liam Gronda | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.8% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 22.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.5% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Robert Finora | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 27.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.