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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.93+4.94vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.57+2.35vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.82+0.86vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands-0.97+7.11vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.38+0.02vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.28-3.02vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.82-0.70vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.04+0.47vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.96+2.14vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96+1.20vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii0.87-4.76vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.35+0.23vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.11-4.49vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria-0.41-4.31vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-0.97-3.89vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.84-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.94University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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4.35University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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3.86Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
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11.11California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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5.02Salve Regina University1.380.1%1st Place
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2.98University of Hawaii2.280.3%1st Place
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6.3University of Hawaii0.820.1%1st Place
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8.47University of California at Berkeley0.040.0%1st Place
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11.14Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
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11.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
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6.24University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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12.23University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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8.51University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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9.69University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
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11.11California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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12.97Rutgers University-1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Potter | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 12.4% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 16.6% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Root | 10.4% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 26.8% | 22.0% | 17.3% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Gee | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Paulsen | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Carter Dojan | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 17.1% | 19.7% | 23.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Bishop | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| Emily Pooley | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 13.8% | 18.4% | 40.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.