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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles0.11+7.40vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.57+1.50vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.38+1.00vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.82-1.00vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.96+5.57vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.82-0.46vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.93-1.75vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.87-2.78vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.04-1.30vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-1.20+1.21vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-0.64-1.37vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-0.64-2.37vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-1.95-0.16vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.35-2.47vs Predicted
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16University of British Columbia-0.49-5.86vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.28-4.58vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii2.28-14.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.4University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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4.5University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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5.0Salve Regina University1.380.1%1st Place
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4.0Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
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11.57Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
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6.54University of Hawaii0.820.1%1st Place
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6.25University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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6.22University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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8.7University of California at Berkeley0.040.0%1st Place
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12.21University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
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10.63California State University Channel Islands-0.640.0%1st Place
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10.63California State University Channel Islands-0.640.0%1st Place
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13.84Rutgers University-1.950.0%1st Place
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12.53University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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10.14University of British Columbia-0.490.0%1st Place
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12.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.280.0%1st Place
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3.07University of Hawaii2.280.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassandra Shand | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 13.5% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Root | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 17.3% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Dojan | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Gee | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Paulsen | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Stevens | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 17.4% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jones | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jones | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Rosahl | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 17.0% | 40.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 17.9% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Cadieux-Johnson | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Johnson | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 17.8% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 26.1% | 21.4% | 18.2% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.