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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.28+1.99vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.57+2.47vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.82+3.46vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.04+4.78vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.87+1.26vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.38-0.95vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.82-2.98vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands-0.64+2.58vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.28+3.27vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.35+2.55vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.93-4.84vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.96-1.47vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria-1.20-1.85vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-0.64-4.42vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.95-2.19vs Predicted
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17University of British Columbia-0.49-6.67vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles0.11-9.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99University of Hawaii2.280.3%1st Place
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4.47University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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6.46University of Hawaii0.820.1%1st Place
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8.78University of California at Berkeley0.040.0%1st Place
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6.26University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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5.05Salve Regina University1.380.1%1st Place
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4.02Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
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10.58California State University Channel Islands-0.640.0%1st Place
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12.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.280.0%1st Place
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12.55University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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6.16University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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11.53Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
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12.15University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
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10.58California State University Channel Islands-0.640.0%1st Place
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13.81Rutgers University-1.950.0%1st Place
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10.33University of British Columbia-0.490.0%1st Place
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8.59University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Wilkinson | 27.3% | 22.3% | 16.8% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 14.4% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Gee | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Paulsen | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Root | 10.2% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 17.1% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jones | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Jack Johnson | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 17.1% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 20.2% | 15.7% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Dojan | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Stevens | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jones | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Rosahl | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 19.3% | 38.9% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Cadieux-Johnson | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.