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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.57+3.37vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.38+2.73vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.11+5.03vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.28-1.05vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.93+0.99vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96+4.91vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.82-3.18vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.95+5.02vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.82-2.82vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands-0.97+0.99vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii0.87-5.83vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.04-4.46vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria-1.20-2.38vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-0.96-4.11vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-0.97-5.01vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.35-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.37University of California at Berkeley1.570.2%1st Place
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4.73Salve Regina University1.380.1%1st Place
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8.03University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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2.95University of Hawaii2.280.3%1st Place
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5.99University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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10.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
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3.82Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
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13.02Rutgers University-1.950.0%1st Place
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6.18University of Hawaii0.820.0%1st Place
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10.99California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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6.17University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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8.54University of California at Berkeley0.040.0%1st Place
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11.62University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
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10.89Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
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10.99California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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11.79University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 15.2% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Root | 11.0% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 27.6% | 20.9% | 18.4% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 16.8% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 17.7% | 15.2% | 18.3% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Rosahl | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 18.8% | 40.2% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Gee | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 5.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Paulsen | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Stevens | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 18.5% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
| Carter Dojan | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 19.6% | 17.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.