← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University1.82+2.80vs Predicted
-
2California State University Channel Islands-0.97+8.78vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Berkeley1.57+1.28vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii2.28-1.03vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii0.82+1.35vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University1.38-1.20vs Predicted
-
8University of Hawaii0.87-1.90vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Los Angeles0.11-0.87vs Predicted
-
10University of Washington0.93-4.06vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego-1.35+0.89vs Predicted
-
12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96-1.06vs Predicted
-
13California State University Channel Islands-0.97-2.22vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Berkeley0.04-5.50vs Predicted
-
15Rutgers University-1.95-1.85vs Predicted
-
16University of Victoria-1.20-4.53vs Predicted
-
17Western Washington University-0.96-6.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.8Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
-
10.78California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
-
4.28University of California at Berkeley1.570.2%1st Place
-
2.97University of Hawaii2.280.3%1st Place
-
6.35University of Hawaii0.820.1%1st Place
-
4.8Salve Regina University1.380.1%1st Place
-
6.1University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
-
8.13University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
-
5.94University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
-
11.89University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
-
10.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
-
10.78California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
-
8.5University of California at Berkeley0.040.0%1st Place
-
13.15Rutgers University-1.950.0%1st Place
-
11.47University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
-
10.91Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Vincens | 17.7% | 18.7% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 15.4% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 26.3% | 22.3% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Gee | 5.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Root | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 21.3% | 17.0% | 0.0% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 17.1% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Paulsen | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Rosahl | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 18.2% | 43.6% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Stevens | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Dojan | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.