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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles0.11+7.50vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.87+4.36vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.57+1.57vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.82+2.68vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.82-1.00vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.93+0.33vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.04+1.79vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.38-3.05vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.28-5.92vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-0.64-0.15vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia-0.78-0.91vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-0.42-2.81vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.28-1.53vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-0.96-3.42vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.35-3.30vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-0.64-6.15vs Predicted
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18Rutgers University-1.84-4.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.5University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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6.36University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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4.57University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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6.68University of Hawaii0.820.1%1st Place
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4.0Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
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6.33University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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8.79University of California at Berkeley0.040.0%1st Place
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4.95Salve Regina University1.380.1%1st Place
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3.08University of Hawaii2.280.3%1st Place
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10.85California State University Channel Islands-0.640.0%1st Place
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11.09University of British Columbia-0.780.0%1st Place
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10.19University of Victoria-0.420.0%1st Place
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12.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.280.0%1st Place
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11.58Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
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12.7University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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10.85California State University Channel Islands-0.640.0%1st Place
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13.86Rutgers University-1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassandra Shand | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 14.2% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Gee | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 16.6% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 5.9% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Paulsen | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Root | 11.4% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 27.0% | 23.1% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jones | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Erez Buyukyilmaz | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Steven Dieleman | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Johnson | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 17.9% | 16.4% | 0.0% |
| Carter Dojan | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 15.6% | 19.3% | 19.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jones | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Emily Pooley | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 18.9% | 38.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.