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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.28+1.88vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.10+3.30vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.57+1.23vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.87+1.97vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.82-1.18vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands-0.97+4.94vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.93-1.14vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.82-1.78vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.96+1.93vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.35+1.83vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.11-2.83vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96-1.94vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-1.95-0.85vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley0.04-6.79vs Predicted
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16University of Victoria-1.20-4.58vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-0.97-6.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88University of Hawaii2.280.3%1st Place
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5.3Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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4.23University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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5.97University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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3.82Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
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10.94California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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5.86University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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6.22University of Hawaii0.820.1%1st Place
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10.93Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
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11.83University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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8.17University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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11.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
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13.15Rutgers University-1.950.0%1st Place
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8.21University of California at Berkeley0.040.0%1st Place
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11.42University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
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10.94California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Wilkinson | 31.1% | 22.2% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 8.5% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 14.2% | 12.6% | 17.3% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 16.4% | 18.8% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Gee | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Dojan | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 18.1% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Rosahl | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 17.8% | 43.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Paulsen | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Stevens | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.