← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College1.48+6.54vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University1.85+4.26vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University1.84+5.53vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.18+4.27vs Predicted
-
5Brown University1.74+1.65vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University0.97+6.36vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University1.44+1.09vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island1.20+0.50vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University1.64-1.90vs Predicted
-
10Brown University1.01-0.56vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.07-1.14vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University1.17-3.02vs Predicted
-
13Boston University1.01-3.52vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13-1.29vs Predicted
-
15Yale University1.59-7.49vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont0.56-5.25vs Predicted
-
17Connecticut College0.38-6.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.54Bowdoin College1.488.6%1st Place
-
6.26Harvard University1.8511.3%1st Place
-
8.53Roger Williams University1.845.9%1st Place
-
8.27Tufts University1.186.3%1st Place
-
6.65Brown University1.749.8%1st Place
-
12.36Salve Regina University0.971.9%1st Place
-
8.09George Washington University1.446.7%1st Place
-
8.5University of Rhode Island1.205.7%1st Place
-
7.1Stanford University1.648.1%1st Place
-
9.44Brown University1.015.0%1st Place
-
9.86Northeastern University1.074.2%1st Place
-
8.98Fordham University1.174.9%1st Place
-
9.48Boston University1.014.8%1st Place
-
12.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.131.9%1st Place
-
7.51Yale University1.598.2%1st Place
-
10.75University of Vermont0.563.5%1st Place
-
10.99Connecticut College0.383.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Harrison Strom | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Cam Spriggs | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 21.9% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Max Sigel | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Thomas Whidden | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Sidney Moyer | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% |
| Robert Finora | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 26.7% |
| Mathias Reimer | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% |
| Liam Gronda | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.