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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands-0.97+10.00vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.82+1.78vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.28-0.06vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.57+0.40vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.38-0.05vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.11+1.38vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.93-1.97vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.87-2.78vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.04-1.53vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii0.82-4.58vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.45-2.09vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96-1.64vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-0.97-3.00vs Predicted
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15University of Victoria-1.20-3.12vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University-0.96-4.88vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University-1.95-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.0California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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3.78Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
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2.94University of Hawaii2.280.3%1st Place
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4.4University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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4.95Salve Regina University1.380.1%1st Place
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8.38University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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6.03University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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6.22University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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8.47University of California at Berkeley0.040.0%1st Place
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6.42University of Hawaii0.820.1%1st Place
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9.91University of California at San Diego-0.450.0%1st Place
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11.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
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11.0California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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11.88University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
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11.12Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
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13.13Rutgers University-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gates | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 17.1% | 19.2% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 27.0% | 22.9% | 17.2% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 13.3% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Root | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Paulsen | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Gee | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 10.9% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Stevens | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 18.5% | 19.4% | 17.2% | 0.0% |
| Carter Dojan | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Rosahl | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 18.3% | 44.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.