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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.57+3.38vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.38+2.76vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.28-0.09vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.87+2.16vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.82-1.04vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands-0.97+4.19vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.04+0.50vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96+2.17vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands-0.97+1.19vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.11-2.72vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University-1.95+1.27vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.45-3.10vs Predicted
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14University of Washington0.93-7.80vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii0.82-8.50vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University-0.96-4.88vs Predicted
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17University of Victoria-1.20-5.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38University of California at Berkeley1.570.2%1st Place
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4.76Salve Regina University1.380.1%1st Place
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2.91University of Hawaii2.280.3%1st Place
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6.16University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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3.96Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
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11.19California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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8.5University of California at Berkeley0.040.0%1st Place
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11.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
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11.19California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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8.28University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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13.27Rutgers University-1.950.0%1st Place
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9.9University of California at San Diego-0.450.0%1st Place
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6.2University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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6.5University of Hawaii0.820.1%1st Place
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11.12Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
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11.69University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 15.4% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Root | 11.2% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 28.2% | 21.8% | 18.9% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 16.7% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 17.3% | 15.4% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Paulsen | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 17.3% | 15.4% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Rosahl | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 16.5% | 48.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Gee | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Dojan | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Stevens | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 16.4% | 19.0% | 16.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.