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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University0.32+2.38vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University0.00+1.93vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University-0.70+2.46vs Predicted
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4University of Texas0.65-1.11vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.02+0.96vs Predicted
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6University of Texas0.03-2.11vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University0.00-3.07vs Predicted
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8Loyola University New Orleans-2.00-0.29vs Predicted
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9University of North Texas-0.97-3.17vs Predicted
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10University of Central Oklahoma-1.81-2.44vs Predicted
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11Texas Christian University-3.52-1.06vs Predicted
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12University of North Texas-3.10-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Tulane University0.320.2%1st Place
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3.93Texas A&M University0.000.2%1st Place
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5.46Texas A&M University-0.700.1%1st Place
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2.89University of Texas0.650.3%1st Place
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5.96Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.020.1%1st Place
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3.89University of Texas0.030.1%1st Place
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3.93Texas A&M University0.000.2%1st Place
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7.71Loyola University New Orleans-2.000.0%1st Place
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5.83University of North Texas-0.970.1%1st Place
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7.56University of Central Oklahoma-1.810.0%1st Place
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9.94Texas Christian University-3.520.0%1st Place
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9.46University of North Texas-3.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Byrnes | 18.8% | 19.3% | 17.2% | 17.0% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Kendrick | 15.6% | 13.9% | 18.2% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lyndsey Sager | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 25.9% | 23.6% | 18.3% | 14.3% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Fecht | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 9.9% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Banks Blackwell | 14.3% | 16.8% | 15.9% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Kendrick | 15.6% | 13.9% | 18.2% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Giordano | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 23.3% | 18.7% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cooledge | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 9.6% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Thelen | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 18.2% | 22.4% | 15.3% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Valerie Herrscher | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 9.8% | 21.8% | 54.8% | 0.0% |
| Johnathan Henkel | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 14.5% | 33.7% | 32.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.