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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas0.65+1.80vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University0.00+1.89vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University0.00+0.89vs Predicted
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4University of Texas0.030.00vs Predicted
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5Loyola University New Orleans-2.00+3.01vs Predicted
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6University of North Texas-0.97-0.17vs Predicted
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7Tulane University0.20-3.46vs Predicted
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8University of Central Oklahoma-1.81-0.68vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.02-3.13vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University-0.70-4.63vs Predicted
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11University of North Texas-3.10-1.57vs Predicted
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12Texas Christian University-3.52-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8University of Texas0.650.3%1st Place
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3.89Texas A&M University0.000.2%1st Place
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3.89Texas A&M University0.000.2%1st Place
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4.0University of Texas0.030.1%1st Place
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8.01Loyola University New Orleans-2.000.0%1st Place
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5.83University of North Texas-0.970.1%1st Place
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3.54Tulane University0.200.2%1st Place
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7.32University of Central Oklahoma-1.810.0%1st Place
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5.87Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.020.1%1st Place
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5.37Texas A&M University-0.700.1%1st Place
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9.43University of North Texas-3.100.0%1st Place
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9.94Texas Christian University-3.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karina Bertelsmann | 27.0% | 23.4% | 18.6% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Kendrick | 15.9% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Kendrick | 15.9% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Banks Blackwell | 14.0% | 13.2% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Giordano | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 17.4% | 24.2% | 19.5% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cooledge | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 9.9% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Grace Siwicki | 18.5% | 19.2% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Thelen | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 19.9% | 21.5% | 12.8% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Fecht | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lyndsey Sager | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 16.5% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Johnathan Henkel | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 13.4% | 32.7% | 33.4% | 0.0% |
| Valerie Herrscher | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 25.5% | 52.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.