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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.48+6.76vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.84+6.30vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.85+3.17vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.44+4.20vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.01+4.44vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.74+0.53vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.59+0.42vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.18+0.25vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.97+3.40vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.07-0.29vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.17-2.09vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.56-1.24vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.20-4.28vs Predicted
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14Stanford University1.64-6.94vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.01-5.42vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.38-4.89vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.76Bowdoin College1.487.6%1st Place
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8.3Roger Williams University1.846.3%1st Place
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6.17Harvard University1.8510.2%1st Place
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8.2George Washington University1.446.6%1st Place
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9.44Boston University1.014.5%1st Place
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6.53Brown University1.7410.7%1st Place
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7.42Yale University1.598.2%1st Place
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8.25Tufts University1.186.6%1st Place
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12.4Salve Regina University0.971.8%1st Place
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9.71Northeastern University1.074.8%1st Place
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8.91Fordham University1.175.5%1st Place
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10.76University of Vermont0.563.9%1st Place
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8.72University of Rhode Island1.205.0%1st Place
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7.06Stanford University1.648.8%1st Place
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9.58Brown University1.014.3%1st Place
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11.11Connecticut College0.383.1%1st Place
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12.67U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.132.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Harrison Strom | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% |
| Cam Spriggs | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Mathias Reimer | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 23.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% |
| Max Sigel | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Thomas Whidden | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Sidney Moyer | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% |
| Liam Gronda | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.3% |
| Robert Finora | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.