← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Alanna Austin 30.8% 26.7% 16.7% 11.1% 8.0% 3.2% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Theresa McComiskey 30.3% 24.0% 20.5% 12.8% 6.7% 3.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jules Bettler 9.5% 11.4% 14.1% 14.2% 16.9% 13.2% 9.6% 6.4% 3.3% 1.4% 0.0%
Jonathan Rolling 2.2% 3.8% 5.2% 7.0% 8.5% 11.1% 11.7% 16.0% 17.5% 17.0% 0.0%
Marcin Kostrzewa 9.3% 10.5% 12.7% 14.7% 14.1% 13.4% 11.2% 6.4% 5.6% 2.1% 0.0%
Jules Bettler 9.5% 11.4% 14.1% 14.2% 16.9% 13.2% 9.6% 6.4% 3.3% 1.4% 0.0%
Jacob Beesley 4.2% 4.1% 6.1% 6.1% 9.4% 10.5% 12.4% 13.1% 16.8% 17.3% 0.0%
Carter Young 3.3% 3.5% 5.9% 7.6% 9.1% 13.8% 14.0% 14.1% 14.3% 14.4% 0.0%
William Bass 3.0% 4.0% 5.6% 7.9% 8.1% 9.9% 12.3% 14.8% 15.3% 19.1% 0.0%
Marisa Soto 4.9% 7.4% 8.8% 12.0% 10.8% 12.9% 13.6% 13.9% 10.0% 5.7% 0.0%
Alexandro Lopez 2.5% 4.6% 4.4% 6.6% 8.4% 8.6% 11.0% 14.0% 17.0% 22.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.