← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Texas0.19+1.82vs Predicted
-
2Tulane University0.20+0.83vs Predicted
-
3Texas A&M University-0.88+1.87vs Predicted
-
4University of North Texas-1.04+1.16vs Predicted
-
5University of Texas-0.45-1.10vs Predicted
-
6University of Central Oklahoma-1.98+1.06vs Predicted
-
7Texas A&M University-0.88-2.13vs Predicted
-
8Loyola University New Orleans-2.10-0.64vs Predicted
-
9Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.76-2.39vs Predicted
-
10Texas A&M University-2.04-2.80vs Predicted
-
11University of North Texas-2.02-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.82University of Texas0.190.3%1st Place
-
2.83Tulane University0.200.3%1st Place
-
4.87Texas A&M University-0.880.1%1st Place
-
5.16University of North Texas-1.040.1%1st Place
-
3.9University of Texas-0.450.1%1st Place
-
7.06University of Central Oklahoma-1.980.0%1st Place
-
4.87Texas A&M University-0.880.1%1st Place
-
7.36Loyola University New Orleans-2.100.0%1st Place
-
6.61Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.760.0%1st Place
-
7.2Texas A&M University-2.040.0%1st Place
-
7.2University of North Texas-2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theresa McComiskey | 28.4% | 24.8% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alanna Austin | 27.6% | 22.8% | 19.2% | 13.4% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jules Bettler | 9.2% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Marcin Kostrzewa | 6.0% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Frederik Winguth | 14.2% | 15.1% | 17.2% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Beesley | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 19.2% | 18.0% | 0.0% |
| Jules Bettler | 9.2% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexandro Lopez | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 22.9% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Pearson | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Rolling | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 19.6% | 20.6% | 0.0% |
| William Bass | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 17.9% | 21.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.