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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas0.19+1.59vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University-0.88+2.51vs Predicted
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3Tulane University0.20-0.38vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University-2.04+2.97vs Predicted
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5University of Texas-1.87+1.48vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University-0.88-1.49vs Predicted
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7Loyola University New Orleans-2.10-0.02vs Predicted
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8University of North Texas-2.02-1.08vs Predicted
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9University of North Texas-1.04-4.23vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.76-3.66vs Predicted
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11University of Central Oklahoma-1.98-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59University of Texas0.190.3%1st Place
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4.51Texas A&M University-0.880.1%1st Place
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2.62Tulane University0.200.3%1st Place
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6.97Texas A&M University-2.040.0%1st Place
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6.48University of Texas-1.870.0%1st Place
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4.51Texas A&M University-0.880.1%1st Place
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6.98Loyola University New Orleans-2.100.0%1st Place
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6.92University of North Texas-2.020.0%1st Place
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4.77University of North Texas-1.040.1%1st Place
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6.34Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.760.0%1st Place
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6.83University of Central Oklahoma-1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theresa McComiskey | 32.2% | 25.1% | 17.5% | 12.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jules Bettler | 10.8% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Alanna Austin | 28.1% | 26.8% | 19.8% | 13.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Rolling | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 0.0% |
| Carter Young | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Jules Bettler | 10.8% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexandro Lopez | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 21.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bass | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 16.5% | 17.2% | 0.0% |
| Marcin Kostrzewa | 7.9% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Pearson | 4.4% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Beesley | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.