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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas0.19+1.61vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University-0.88+2.48vs Predicted
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3Loyola University New Orleans-2.10+4.13vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University-0.88+0.48vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.76+1.33vs Predicted
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6University of North Texas-1.04-1.27vs Predicted
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7Tulane University0.20-4.41vs Predicted
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8University of North Texas-2.02-1.08vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University-2.04-2.15vs Predicted
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10University of Central Oklahoma-1.98-3.21vs Predicted
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11University of Texas-1.87-4.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61University of Texas0.190.3%1st Place
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4.48Texas A&M University-0.880.1%1st Place
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7.13Loyola University New Orleans-2.100.0%1st Place
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4.48Texas A&M University-0.880.1%1st Place
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6.33Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.760.0%1st Place
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4.73University of North Texas-1.040.1%1st Place
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2.59Tulane University0.200.3%1st Place
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6.92University of North Texas-2.020.0%1st Place
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6.85Texas A&M University-2.040.0%1st Place
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6.79University of Central Oklahoma-1.980.0%1st Place
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6.57University of Texas-1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theresa McComiskey | 30.8% | 26.2% | 18.7% | 11.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jules Bettler | 10.7% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 19.0% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexandro Lopez | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 18.7% | 20.3% | 0.0% |
| Jules Bettler | 10.7% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 19.0% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Pearson | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Marcin Kostrzewa | 9.9% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 16.9% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Alanna Austin | 29.8% | 28.2% | 18.1% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Bass | 3.3% | 2.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Rolling | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Beesley | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Young | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.