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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.84+7.40vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.18+6.40vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.44+5.20vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.56+6.87vs Predicted
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5Stanford University1.64+1.91vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.01+3.70vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.48+0.78vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.85-1.69vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.07+0.98vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.38+1.09vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.74-4.45vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.30-3.64vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.59-5.48vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.54-5.69vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.01-5.66vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-3.58vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13-4.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.4Roger Williams University1.846.7%1st Place
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8.4Tufts University1.185.1%1st Place
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8.2George Washington University1.447.0%1st Place
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10.87University of Vermont0.563.0%1st Place
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6.91Stanford University1.648.5%1st Place
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9.7Brown University1.014.7%1st Place
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7.78Bowdoin College1.487.9%1st Place
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6.31Harvard University1.8510.4%1st Place
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9.98Northeastern University1.074.6%1st Place
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11.09Connecticut College0.383.4%1st Place
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6.55Brown University1.749.8%1st Place
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8.36University of Rhode Island1.306.2%1st Place
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7.52Yale University1.597.2%1st Place
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8.31Fordham University1.546.5%1st Place
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9.34Boston University1.015.2%1st Place
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12.42Salve Regina University0.972.3%1st Place
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12.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.131.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mastovsky | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 10.0% |
| Thomas Whidden | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Sidney Moyer | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Harrison Strom | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% |
| Liam Gronda | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 12.4% |
| Cam Spriggs | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Mathias Reimer | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Lucas Thress | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Nathan Selian | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 21.9% |
| Robert Finora | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 15.2% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.