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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.64+1.30vs Predicted
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2Washington University0.67+0.24vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.63+0.63vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.02-0.95vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-0.73-1.02vs Predicted
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6Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-0.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3Ohio State University0.6430.6%1st Place
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2.24Washington University0.6733.6%1st Place
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3.63Marquette University-0.6310.2%1st Place
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3.05Purdue University0.0217.5%1st Place
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3.98Western Michigan University-0.737.3%1st Place
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5.8Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Hershey | 30.6% | 30.4% | 21.9% | 12.6% | 4.2% | 0.2% |
| Wyatt Tait | 33.6% | 29.6% | 20.4% | 12.7% | 3.6% | 0.2% |
| Eva Paschke | 10.2% | 11.9% | 18.2% | 26.5% | 30.1% | 3.0% |
| Alex Day | 17.5% | 18.7% | 23.6% | 22.7% | 16.2% | 1.2% |
| Jack Charlton | 7.3% | 8.6% | 14.8% | 23.2% | 40.2% | 5.9% |
| Piper Luke | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 5.7% | 89.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.