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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.75+3.60vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.22+4.29vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.72+1.67vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.22+2.29vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.45+0.36vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-0.09+5.70vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-0.59vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.75+6.52vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.38+3.20vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-0.19+1.10vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.02+3.77vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.12-1.89vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-0.29-1.41vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles0.09-4.01vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.15+0.10vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.03-0.91vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-1.23vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles0.61-10.22vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91-4.39vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles0.92-13.77vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.44-4.56vs Predicted
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23San Diego State University-0.25-10.70vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-1.43-6.44vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-1.76-6.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6University of Southern California1.750.2%1st Place
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6.29California Poly Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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4.67University of Southern California1.720.2%1st Place
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6.29California Poly Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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5.36University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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11.7University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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6.41University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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14.52University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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13.2University of California at Davis-0.380.0%1st Place
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12.1University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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15.77University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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11.11University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
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12.59San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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10.99University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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16.1Arizona State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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16.09University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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16.77University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
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8.78University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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15.61University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
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7.23University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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17.44University of California at San Diego-1.440.0%1st Place
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12.3San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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17.56Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
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18.83University of California at Davis-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Alexander | 15.3% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kian Patrick | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Paulsen | 15.7% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kian Patrick | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 9.4% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Jodie Jacobs | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Theut | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Mack | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marcus Leitner | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hughes | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 18.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Chitouras | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 26.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.