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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.75+3.57vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.72+2.71vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.22+3.34vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+2.43vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine-0.09+6.75vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.92+1.26vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.45-1.67vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.61+0.76vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy1.22-2.66vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.75+4.70vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.12-0.27vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-1.15+4.70vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.03+2.90vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-0.19-1.72vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-1.02+0.55vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-0.29-3.20vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles0.09-6.05vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-0.38-5.82vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.44-2.18vs Predicted
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21University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-4.51vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-1.43-4.48vs Predicted
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23San Diego State University-0.25-10.66vs Predicted
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24University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91-8.50vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-1.63-6.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57University of Southern California1.750.2%1st Place
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4.71University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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6.34California Poly Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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6.43University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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11.75University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.26University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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5.33University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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8.76University of California at Los Angeles0.610.1%1st Place
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6.34California Poly Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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14.7University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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10.73University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
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16.7Arizona State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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15.9University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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12.28University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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15.55University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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12.8San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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10.95University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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13.18University of California at Davis-0.380.0%1st Place
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17.82University of California at San Diego-1.440.0%1st Place
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16.49University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
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17.52Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
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12.34San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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15.5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
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18.4University of California at Davis-1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Alexander | 15.2% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Paulsen | 13.9% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kian Patrick | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 13.8% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kian Patrick | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Theut | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jodie Jacobs | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hughes | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 16.6% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Mack | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Marcus Leitner | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Aditya Kalyan | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 23.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.