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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University0.67+1.22vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.02+1.03vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.63+0.72vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-0.73-0.06vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.64-2.69vs Predicted
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6Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-0.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22Washington University0.6735.8%1st Place
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3.03Purdue University0.0216.6%1st Place
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3.72Marquette University-0.639.4%1st Place
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3.94Western Michigan University-0.737.1%1st Place
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2.31Ohio State University0.6430.3%1st Place
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5.78Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Tait | 35.8% | 27.6% | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Alex Day | 16.6% | 19.5% | 25.2% | 22.9% | 14.8% | 1.1% |
| Eva Paschke | 9.4% | 11.7% | 16.3% | 26.2% | 33.1% | 3.4% |
| Jack Charlton | 7.1% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 23.4% | 38.5% | 5.9% |
| Emma Hershey | 30.3% | 30.3% | 22.4% | 12.0% | 4.7% | 0.2% |
| Piper Luke | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 5.9% | 89.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.