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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.00+3.00vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.75+2.68vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.92+4.46vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.22+2.22vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.61+3.66vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-1.02+9.78vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-0.09+4.54vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-1.33vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego1.45-3.47vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.38+3.02vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy1.22-4.78vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.19+0.43vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.12-2.21vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.09-2.97vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.75-0.55vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.15+0.60vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.03-1.09vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-0.25-5.41vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-2.93vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-1.43-3.75vs Predicted
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22San Diego State University-0.29-9.42vs Predicted
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23University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91-7.64vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-1.76-5.22vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-1.44-7.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0University of Southern California2.000.2%1st Place
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4.68University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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7.46University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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6.22California Poly Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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8.66University of California at Los Angeles0.610.1%1st Place
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15.78University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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11.54University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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6.67University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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5.53University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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13.02University of California at Davis-0.380.0%1st Place
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6.22California Poly Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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12.43University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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10.79University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
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11.03University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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14.45University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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16.6Arizona State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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15.91University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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12.59San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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17.07University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
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17.25Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
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12.58San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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15.36University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
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18.78University of California at Davis-1.760.0%1st Place
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17.61University of California at San Diego-1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Paulsen | 18.5% | 18.9% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 13.7% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kian Patrick | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jodie Jacobs | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kian Patrick | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Theut | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Mack | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Marcus Leitner | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Chitouras | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 15.4% | 29.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hughes | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.