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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.18+1.75vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.27+3.00vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.11+6.39vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-0.10+6.42vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.80+1.33vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.34+2.34vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy0.47+0.69vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy0.47-0.31vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.52-1.47vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.60+2.29vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-1.01+3.50vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-0.87+2.01vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.44-1.16vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.36-2.32vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-0.99-0.68vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.35+0.33vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-1.43-0.41vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine-0.71-4.91vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.19-3.54vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.40-3.92vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-7.05vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-0.75-8.64vs Predicted
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23University of California at Santa Cruz-2.65-2.05vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-2.26-4.37vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-1.87-6.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75University of Southern California2.180.3%1st Place
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5.0University of Southern California1.270.1%1st Place
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9.39University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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10.42University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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6.33University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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8.34University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.1%1st Place
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7.69California Poly Maritime Academy0.470.1%1st Place
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7.69California Poly Maritime Academy0.470.1%1st Place
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7.53University of California at Los Angeles0.520.1%1st Place
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12.29University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
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14.5University of California at Davis-1.010.0%1st Place
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14.01San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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11.84University of California at Santa Cruz-0.440.0%1st Place
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11.68University of California at Irvine-0.360.0%1st Place
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14.32San Diego State University-0.990.0%1st Place
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16.33University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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16.59University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
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13.09University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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15.46University of California at San Diego-1.190.0%1st Place
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16.08Arizona State University-1.400.0%1st Place
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13.95University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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13.36University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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20.95University of California at Santa Cruz-2.650.0%1st Place
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19.63Arizona State University-2.260.0%1st Place
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18.47University of California at Davis-1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 32.1% | 23.5% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diya Correa | 12.1% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Butler | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Butler | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Konrad Brine | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Yong | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Tuck | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan McGlothlin | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Davis | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Filip Teoharevic | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Canyon Breyer | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nina-Katreen Hipkins | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 40.7% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Dolson | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 19.4% | 24.4% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Lee | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.