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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego0.80+5.41vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.18+0.81vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis-1.43+13.62vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.52+3.62vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.27-0.18vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.10+4.32vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-1.01+7.59vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.34+0.32vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.60+3.30vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy0.47-2.25vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-0.99+3.66vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy0.47-4.25vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.11-3.76vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-0.87+0.18vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.71-2.08vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.44-4.01vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-0.36-5.57vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-0.75-4.79vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.35-2.80vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.19-4.93vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-1.87-2.87vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-1.40-5.45vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-2.26-3.26vs Predicted
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24University of California at Santa Cruz-2.65-3.15vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-10.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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2.81University of Southern California2.180.3%1st Place
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16.62University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
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7.62University of California at Los Angeles0.520.1%1st Place
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4.82University of Southern California1.270.1%1st Place
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10.32University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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14.59University of California at Davis-1.010.0%1st Place
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8.32University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.1%1st Place
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12.3University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
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7.75California Poly Maritime Academy0.470.1%1st Place
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14.66San Diego State University-0.990.0%1st Place
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7.75California Poly Maritime Academy0.470.1%1st Place
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9.24University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
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14.18San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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12.92University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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11.99University of California at Santa Cruz-0.440.0%1st Place
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11.43University of California at Irvine-0.360.0%1st Place
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13.21University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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16.2University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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15.07University of California at San Diego-1.190.0%1st Place
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18.13University of California at Davis-1.870.0%1st Place
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16.55Arizona State University-1.400.0%1st Place
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19.74Arizona State University-2.260.0%1st Place
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20.85University of California at Santa Cruz-2.650.0%1st Place
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14.26University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Barth | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 30.4% | 23.1% | 18.1% | 12.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diya Correa | 12.7% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Konrad Brine | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Butler | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan McGlothlin | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Butler | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Yong | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Tuck | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Canyon Breyer | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Davis | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Lee | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Filip Teoharevic | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Dolson | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 19.4% | 23.0% | 0.0% |
| Nina-Katreen Hipkins | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 10.6% | 15.4% | 40.9% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.