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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.64+1.29vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.63+1.68vs Predicted
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3Washington University0.67-0.77vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-0.73-0.05vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.02-1.95vs Predicted
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6Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-0.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29Ohio State University0.6432.9%1st Place
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3.68Marquette University-0.639.8%1st Place
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2.23Washington University0.6733.1%1st Place
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3.95Western Michigan University-0.737.5%1st Place
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3.05Purdue University0.0216.0%1st Place
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5.79Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emma Hershey | 32.9% | 27.7% | 22.1% | 12.6% | 4.7% | 0.1% |
Eva Paschke | 9.8% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 24.9% | 31.9% | 4.0% |
Wyatt Tait | 33.1% | 30.6% | 20.4% | 12.0% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
Jack Charlton | 7.5% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 22.7% | 40.6% | 5.4% |
Alex Day | 16.0% | 18.4% | 26.0% | 25.1% | 13.4% | 1.1% |
Piper Luke | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 88.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.