← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Charlie Curtis 53.3% 28.8% 11.5% 4.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Hunter 24.2% 35.2% 21.3% 11.0% 5.6% 2.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Cole Woerner 8.3% 13.3% 24.3% 20.0% 17.4% 9.7% 4.7% 2.0% 0.3%
Matt Alburn 2.1% 4.2% 7.6% 12.3% 14.3% 16.1% 16.1% 16.1% 11.2%
Isabel Weber 2.8% 4.7% 9.7% 13.7% 14.3% 14.6% 15.6% 14.4% 10.2%
Conor Murphy 1.1% 2.9% 3.8% 7.3% 11.1% 11.0% 17.1% 20.3% 25.4%
Harrison Fang 2.0% 1.8% 6.0% 9.1% 10.2% 15.6% 17.4% 19.6% 18.3%
Jack Rachek 4.1% 6.3% 11.9% 15.9% 17.0% 15.7% 14.0% 9.9% 5.2%
George Koser 2.1% 2.8% 3.9% 5.8% 9.0% 14.5% 14.9% 17.6% 29.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.