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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.25+2.91vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+2.07vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.80+1.62vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.75-0.70vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-1.60vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.62-3.87vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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4.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.62University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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3.3University of Southern California1.750.2%1st Place
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3.4University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.2%1st Place
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2.13Stanford University2.620.4%1st Place
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6.57University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annika Garrett | 10.6% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 18.4% | 20.9% | 16.6% | 4.1% |
| Alyson Crowley | 8.3% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 17.2% | 20.5% | 21.5% | 3.4% |
| Erika Barth | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 20.4% | 31.7% | 8.1% |
| Sarah Alexander | 15.6% | 21.3% | 18.3% | 18.8% | 15.2% | 10.1% | 0.7% |
| Madeline Kraus | 15.5% | 17.3% | 21.7% | 17.5% | 15.3% | 10.6% | 2.1% |
| Stephanie Houck | 42.4% | 25.5% | 16.3% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Sofia Mack | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 8.1% | 81.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.