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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.02+2.03vs Predicted
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2Washington University0.67+0.28vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.64-0.72vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-0.73-0.07vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.63-1.32vs Predicted
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6Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-0.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03Purdue University0.0216.9%1st Place
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2.28Washington University0.6732.3%1st Place
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2.28Ohio State University0.6432.9%1st Place
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3.93Western Michigan University-0.737.8%1st Place
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3.68Marquette University-0.639.6%1st Place
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5.81Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Day | 16.9% | 19.9% | 23.4% | 24.4% | 14.5% | 1.0% |
| Wyatt Tait | 32.3% | 29.2% | 21.9% | 11.8% | 4.8% | 0.1% |
| Emma Hershey | 32.9% | 29.1% | 20.8% | 11.9% | 4.9% | 0.3% |
| Jack Charlton | 7.8% | 9.0% | 15.3% | 24.1% | 38.5% | 5.3% |
| Eva Paschke | 9.6% | 12.2% | 17.3% | 25.9% | 31.1% | 3.9% |
| Piper Luke | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 6.2% | 89.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.