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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+3.04vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.75+1.23vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.62-0.91vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-0.58vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.25-0.97vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.80-1.35vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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3.23University of Southern California1.750.2%1st Place
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2.09Stanford University2.620.4%1st Place
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3.42University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.1%1st Place
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4.03University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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4.65University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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6.55University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyson Crowley | 10.5% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 21.7% | 19.5% | 4.5% |
| Sarah Alexander | 16.9% | 19.3% | 21.3% | 19.5% | 13.6% | 7.8% | 1.6% |
| Stephanie Houck | 42.0% | 27.9% | 16.4% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Kraus | 14.5% | 18.2% | 19.6% | 19.0% | 17.2% | 10.0% | 1.5% |
| Annika Garrett | 9.0% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 18.5% | 20.9% | 18.6% | 4.3% |
| Erika Barth | 5.8% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 17.7% | 35.3% | 7.1% |
| Sofia Mack | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 80.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.