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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.62+1.10vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.75+1.20vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+1.10vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.80+0.68vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-1.60vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25+0.67vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.25-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Stanford University2.620.4%1st Place
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3.2University of Southern California1.750.2%1st Place
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4.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.68University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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3.4University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.1%1st Place
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6.67University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
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3.85University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 43.5% | 25.2% | 15.9% | 9.9% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Alexander | 15.9% | 20.8% | 22.3% | 18.2% | 14.6% | 7.2% | 1.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 8.3% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 18.3% | 20.4% | 22.2% | 3.2% |
| Erika Barth | 5.7% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 20.9% | 33.6% | 7.8% |
| Madeline Kraus | 13.8% | 19.7% | 19.2% | 20.0% | 16.0% | 10.0% | 1.3% |
| Sofia Mack | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 8.5% | 83.9% |
| Annika Garrett | 12.2% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 18.7% | 20.8% | 17.4% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.