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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.62+1.13vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.25+1.96vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.75+0.25vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-0.64vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.87vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.80-1.39vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13Stanford University2.620.4%1st Place
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3.96University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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3.25University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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3.36University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.2%1st Place
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4.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.61University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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6.57University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 42.5% | 25.6% | 16.3% | 10.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Annika Garrett | 10.1% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 18.6% | 21.8% | 17.5% | 3.5% |
| Sarah Alexander | 15.0% | 22.6% | 18.9% | 20.3% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 1.3% |
| Madeline Kraus | 16.6% | 17.2% | 20.2% | 17.7% | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.5% |
| Alyson Crowley | 8.2% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 20.4% | 21.3% | 5.2% |
| Erika Barth | 6.4% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 20.1% | 32.6% | 7.4% |
| Sofia Mack | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 8.6% | 81.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.