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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.62+1.09vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.25+1.94vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.75+0.26vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.80+0.66vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.88vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-2.63vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09Stanford University2.620.4%1st Place
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3.94University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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3.26University of Southern California1.750.2%1st Place
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4.66University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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4.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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3.37University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.1%1st Place
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6.57University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 43.4% | 26.2% | 15.8% | 9.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Annika Garrett | 10.6% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 18.4% | 21.3% | 18.2% | 3.1% |
| Sarah Alexander | 15.2% | 21.6% | 20.4% | 19.2% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 1.4% |
| Erika Barth | 5.8% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 19.7% | 32.3% | 8.7% |
| Alyson Crowley | 9.0% | 11.3% | 15.9% | 16.9% | 21.7% | 20.3% | 4.9% |
| Madeline Kraus | 15.0% | 19.7% | 18.7% | 19.5% | 15.9% | 9.8% | 1.4% |
| Sofia Mack | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 9.0% | 80.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.