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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.62+1.12vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+2.06vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+0.36vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.75-0.75vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.80-0.33vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.25-2.02vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Stanford University2.620.4%1st Place
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4.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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3.36University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.1%1st Place
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3.25University of Southern California1.750.2%1st Place
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4.67University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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3.98University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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6.57University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 41.8% | 27.0% | 15.4% | 10.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Alyson Crowley | 9.4% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 21.7% | 20.2% | 4.0% |
| Madeline Kraus | 14.2% | 20.3% | 20.5% | 18.6% | 14.8% | 10.1% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Alexander | 17.3% | 19.8% | 19.9% | 17.8% | 15.5% | 8.5% | 1.2% |
| Erika Barth | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 20.4% | 31.8% | 9.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 10.1% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 19.2% | 19.9% | 19.0% | 3.6% |
| Sofia Mack | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 8.8% | 80.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.