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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.62+1.12vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.75+1.24vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+0.36vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+0.10vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.80-0.35vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.25-2.03vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-0.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Stanford University2.620.4%1st Place
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3.24University of Southern California1.750.2%1st Place
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3.36University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.1%1st Place
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4.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.65University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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3.97University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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6.56University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 42.3% | 26.3% | 15.6% | 10.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Alexander | 16.6% | 19.4% | 21.5% | 18.9% | 14.8% | 7.6% | 1.2% |
| Madeline Kraus | 14.3% | 20.0% | 21.1% | 17.4% | 15.9% | 9.6% | 1.7% |
| Alyson Crowley | 9.8% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 21.0% | 21.6% | 4.2% |
| Erika Barth | 5.7% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 20.1% | 31.8% | 8.8% |
| Annika Garrett | 10.0% | 12.4% | 17.1% | 18.0% | 19.3% | 19.8% | 3.4% |
| Sofia Mack | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 80.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.