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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.62+1.11vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.75+1.19vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+1.11vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.25-0.01vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-1.59vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25+0.67vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.80-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11Stanford University2.620.4%1st Place
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3.19University of Southern California1.750.2%1st Place
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4.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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3.99University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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3.41University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.1%1st Place
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6.67University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
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4.52University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 43.5% | 24.0% | 17.3% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Alexander | 15.9% | 22.0% | 20.5% | 18.7% | 15.0% | 7.0% | 0.9% |
| Alyson Crowley | 8.6% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 18.5% | 21.0% | 21.9% | 3.3% |
| Annika Garrett | 10.7% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 19.1% | 18.8% | 20.1% | 3.8% |
| Madeline Kraus | 13.1% | 19.7% | 20.0% | 19.7% | 16.2% | 10.1% | 1.2% |
| Sofia Mack | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 7.8% | 84.2% |
| Erika Barth | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 21.3% | 32.1% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.