← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.62+1.14vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii1.25+1.97vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California1.75+0.26vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-0.64vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.89vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25+0.65vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego0.80-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.14Stanford University2.620.4%1st Place
-
3.97University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
-
3.26University of Southern California1.750.2%1st Place
-
3.36University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.2%1st Place
-
4.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
-
6.65University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
-
4.51University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 42.7% | 24.4% | 17.2% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Annika Garrett | 8.9% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 19.3% | 20.6% | 18.3% | 3.3% |
| Sarah Alexander | 15.3% | 21.2% | 20.0% | 19.2% | 14.8% | 8.7% | 0.8% |
| Madeline Kraus | 16.6% | 17.3% | 19.6% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 10.0% | 1.4% |
| Alyson Crowley | 7.9% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 20.5% | 21.0% | 4.5% |
| Sofia Mack | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 8.9% | 83.0% |
| Erika Barth | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 20.5% | 32.0% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.