← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.62+1.07vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California1.75+1.19vs Predicted
-
3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+1.10vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego0.80+0.67vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-1.57vs Predicted
-
6University of Hawaii1.25-2.04vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.07Stanford University2.620.4%1st Place
-
3.19University of Southern California1.750.2%1st Place
-
4.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
-
4.67University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
-
3.43University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.1%1st Place
-
3.96University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
-
6.58University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 43.7% | 26.2% | 15.0% | 10.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Alexander | 16.8% | 20.8% | 20.1% | 20.6% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 0.9% |
| Alyson Crowley | 8.3% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 18.3% | 21.9% | 19.9% | 4.0% |
| Erika Barth | 5.9% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 20.2% | 33.3% | 8.4% |
| Madeline Kraus | 13.9% | 19.7% | 19.6% | 17.8% | 16.3% | 10.7% | 2.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 10.4% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 17.0% | 20.8% | 19.1% | 3.4% |
| Sofia Mack | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 81.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.