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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University0.67+1.28vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.02+1.02vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.64-0.69vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.63-0.32vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-0.73-1.08vs Predicted
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6Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-0.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28Washington University0.6732.1%1st Place
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3.02Purdue University0.0217.5%1st Place
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2.31Ohio State University0.6432.1%1st Place
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3.68Marquette University-0.638.9%1st Place
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3.92Western Michigan University-0.738.7%1st Place
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5.8Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Tait | 32.1% | 29.6% | 21.6% | 11.9% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Alex Day | 17.5% | 18.7% | 24.2% | 24.8% | 13.6% | 1.2% |
| Emma Hershey | 32.1% | 28.9% | 20.2% | 13.8% | 4.8% | 0.2% |
| Eva Paschke | 8.9% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 25.5% | 31.9% | 3.3% |
| Jack Charlton | 8.7% | 8.2% | 15.6% | 22.4% | 40.4% | 4.9% |
| Piper Luke | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 5.1% | 90.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.