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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.75+2.14vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.62+0.12vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+1.11vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-0.60vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.25-0.97vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.80-1.37vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-0.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14University of Southern California1.750.2%1st Place
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2.12Stanford University2.620.4%1st Place
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4.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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3.4University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.2%1st Place
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4.03University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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4.63University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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6.56University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Alexander | 19.4% | 21.7% | 18.5% | 17.7% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 1.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 40.5% | 28.0% | 17.6% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Alyson Crowley | 9.0% | 10.5% | 16.8% | 16.6% | 22.6% | 19.9% | 4.6% |
| Madeline Kraus | 15.5% | 17.3% | 19.1% | 19.5% | 17.9% | 9.6% | 1.1% |
| Annika Garrett | 9.1% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 19.3% | 20.5% | 18.7% | 4.5% |
| Erika Barth | 5.6% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 18.8% | 33.1% | 7.5% |
| Sofia Mack | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 81.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.