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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+3.03vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+1.35vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.62-0.92vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.75-0.68vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.25-0.98vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.80-1.35vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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3.35University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.2%1st Place
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2.08Stanford University2.620.4%1st Place
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3.32University of Southern California1.750.2%1st Place
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4.02University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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4.65University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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6.55University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyson Crowley | 10.4% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 21.7% | 19.2% | 4.7% |
| Madeline Kraus | 15.6% | 18.2% | 21.4% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 9.5% | 1.6% |
| Stephanie Houck | 41.9% | 28.2% | 16.0% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Alexander | 16.2% | 18.9% | 19.3% | 19.9% | 15.5% | 8.9% | 1.3% |
| Annika Garrett | 8.8% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 18.0% | 21.1% | 18.5% | 4.3% |
| Erika Barth | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 17.8% | 35.0% | 7.1% |
| Sofia Mack | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 80.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.