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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.62+1.10vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.75+1.20vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+1.12vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-0.61vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.80-0.36vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.25-2.02vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Stanford University2.620.4%1st Place
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3.2University of Southern California1.750.2%1st Place
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4.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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3.39University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.2%1st Place
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4.64University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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3.98University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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6.57University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 42.8% | 26.1% | 15.7% | 10.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Alexander | 16.2% | 21.7% | 20.8% | 18.7% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 0.9% |
| Alyson Crowley | 8.7% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 18.4% | 21.9% | 20.2% | 4.4% |
| Madeline Kraus | 15.3% | 17.9% | 20.3% | 17.8% | 17.8% | 9.8% | 1.1% |
| Erika Barth | 5.5% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 19.4% | 31.8% | 8.8% |
| Annika Garrett | 10.2% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 17.6% | 19.1% | 20.1% | 3.9% |
| Sofia Mack | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 80.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.