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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.62+1.11vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+1.31vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.80+1.64vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.75-0.71vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.87vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.25-2.04vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11Stanford University2.620.4%1st Place
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3.31University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.1%1st Place
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4.64University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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3.29University of Southern California1.750.2%1st Place
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4.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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3.96University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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6.57University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 42.6% | 26.0% | 15.9% | 10.4% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Kraus | 14.9% | 21.0% | 20.1% | 18.6% | 14.6% | 9.6% | 1.2% |
| Erika Barth | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 20.9% | 32.1% | 7.9% |
| Sarah Alexander | 16.7% | 18.6% | 20.2% | 19.2% | 14.8% | 9.7% | 0.8% |
| Alyson Crowley | 8.3% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 17.7% | 20.8% | 20.5% | 5.2% |
| Annika Garrett | 10.3% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 17.5% | 20.3% | 19.0% | 3.5% |
| Sofia Mack | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 81.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.