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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.62+1.10vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.80+2.58vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.75+0.26vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.250.00vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.88vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-2.62vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Stanford University2.620.4%1st Place
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4.58University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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3.26University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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4.0University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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4.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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3.38University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.1%1st Place
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6.57University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 42.5% | 26.6% | 16.6% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Erika Barth | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 15.7% | 20.5% | 31.3% | 7.1% |
| Sarah Alexander | 14.8% | 22.1% | 20.8% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 8.3% | 1.2% |
| Annika Garrett | 11.1% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 19.2% | 20.2% | 19.7% | 3.8% |
| Alyson Crowley | 9.1% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 20.5% | 21.2% | 5.2% |
| Madeline Kraus | 14.9% | 18.8% | 20.2% | 19.1% | 15.2% | 10.3% | 1.5% |
| Sofia Mack | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 81.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.